Build the sample space
Model simple, conditional, complementary, and multi-stage probabilities from a complete sample space or event structure.
- Must know
- Probability is favorable measure divided by total measure only when the modeled outcomes use the appropriate weighting. ‘At least one’ is often cleanly computed with a complement; conditional probability changes the denominator.
- Evidence limit
- Do not assume independence, equal likelihood, or replacement unless the experiment supports it.
- Common trap
Separate events can always be multiplied.Multiplication requires conditional probabilities or justified independence.- Representations
- probability model · table · equation